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BETTING ANALYSIS
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La Liga
Sun Feb 20

VILLARREAL

v

ATHLETICO MADRID

THIS WEEKS OTHER PREVIEWS :
19 February 2005
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19 February 2005
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20 February 2005
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20 February 2005
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20 February 2005
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20 February 2005
TO RUN!

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MATCH ANALYSIS

"Coach Cesar Ferrando insists Atletico Madrid need to put on a performance like they did against Barcelona two weeks ago, if they want to beat in-form Villarreal at the El Madrigal stadium.

The Rojiblancos' 2-0 win in the Nou Camp, only their second away victory of the season, prompted the belief that the capital club might have finally found its feet after an inconsistent first half of the campaign, and were about to make a concerted assault on the European places.

But last Sunday's listless display against 10-man Levante, which resulted in a goalless draw, and an uninspiring 1-0 win over Numancia in the Copa Del Rey on Wednesday, thanks to a dubious Fernando Torres penalty, showed that all the old doubts are flooding back. On the injury front Ferrando looks set to lose defender Sergi Barjuan to an ankle problem, while Carlos Aguilera is still suffering with an inflamed tendon.

However Gonzalo Colsa's muscle strain and Fernando Torres' bout of pharyngitis are not expected to keep the pair out of the squad. But the news is not so good for Ferrando himself as the coach is likely to miss the game due to a kidney infection.

Villarreal will certainly appreciate a return to the warmer climes of the Mediterranean coast after their sub-zero clash with Dynamo Kiev in the UEFA cup on Thursday night.

A hard-fought goalless draw leaves Manuel Pellegrini's side still in contention, and allows them to turn their attention to Atletico.

The 2-1 defeat to Sevilla last weekend was Villarreal's first league defeat in nine outings, but they have a formidable home record, having only lost once in El Madrigal all season, conceding only four goals in the process.

Pellegrini rotated his squad for Thursday's game, resting Forlan and Riquelme, and will make a late decision on his squad to face Atletico with a number of players carrying knocks.

Luciano Figueroa, Jose Mari, Gonzalo Rodriguez, Juan Manuel Pena and Juan Pablo Sorin all missed training on Friday, while Sebastian Battaglia will definitely miss the game through suspension.

Villarreal have scored eleven goals in their last four home games, which read as four straight wins  2-1, 3-1, 3-0 and 3-0. They only concede an average of 0.36 goals a game at home. Athletic did surprise Barcelona in their last away trip, but since then they have been very ordinary. I'm on the home win today - Villarreal can continue their superb home form with another win today.

Recommendation:

VILLARREAL @ 4/5 with SKYBET

 

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MATCH OUTCOME
Villarreal achieved a historic victory against Atlético de Madrid in a difficult match. Two goals from Fernando Torres in the first half, with an irregular game of the locals, put things complicated, but the three goals that Villarreal obtained in the second half thanks to Diego Forlán, Perea (own goal) and Sorín, in the injury time, brought the victory to the locals.

 Villarreal did not lose the faith and improved its game form their first goal, accompanied by an enthusiastic stadium that applauded every tackle of their team. With this hat trick, the yellow team accedes to the fifth position, only one point distance from Sevilla and Betis (in fourth and third positions), both with 41 points. This opens a real opportunity for Villarreal in the fight towards the Champions tournament classification.

Villarreal maintained their push for a place in next season's Champions League with victory against Atletico Madrid - but they did it the hard way, Juan Pablo Sorin scoring the winner in injury time to complete a magnificent comeback from 2-0 down.

Atletico, for whom the defeat represented a significant dent in their European hopes, looked in complete control at the break thanks to two goals from Spain striker Fernando Torres.

But Villarreal had other ideas and a double substitution after 61 minutes paved the way for their fightback.

Within a minute of Jose Mari and Santi Cazorla coming on, the home side reduced the arrears through Diego Forlan.

And Villarreal were given genuine hope when Luis Amaranto Perea headed into his own net with seven minutes to go.

The astonishing turnaround was complete in the dying seconds when Forlan's cross was deflected into the path of Sorin by Fernando Nano and the Argentina international made no mistake from close range.

Villarreal's sluggish start gave no indication of what was to come.

They appeared jaded from their midweek trip to Dynamo Kiev in the UEFA Cup and Atletico took full advantage.

Torres could have opened the scoring inside a minute but slipped at a crucial time and he could count himself particularly unfortunate midway through the first half when a highly debatable offside flag ruled out another effort.

But Torres was not to be denied and he made the breakthrough after 28 minutes - converting Jesper Gronkjaer's wonderful through ball with a crisp finish.

With Villarreal still reeling, lone striker Torres struck again five minutes before the break.

Playmaker Ariel Ibagaza was the supplier with an inch-perfect pass which Torres took in his stride before slipping a shot past the unprotected home goalkeeper Jose Reina.

Villarreal had to improve after the break and they duly did, creating their first chance of note eight minutes after the restart - Antonio Guayre firing in a shot which defensive midfielder Marcelo Sosa did well to well to block for a corner.

Atletico were still dangerous on the counter, however, and Gronkjaer should have wrapped the game up after 56 minutes but the Danish winger headed wide at the far post after Reina had flapped at a right wing cross.

Time was starting to run out for Villarreal but they were handed a lifeline when Sorin crossed for Forlan to fire home.

The Uruguayan was much maligned at Manchester United but he appears to regained his goalscoring touch in Spain and this was his 15th strike of an impressive season.

With Villarreal pushing forward, Atletico almost restored their two-goal advantage but Reina made a fine stop to deny Ibagaza.

And Reina's heroics at one end paved the way for Villarreal to profit at the other.

The equaliser came when a trademark whipped free-kick from Juan Roman Riquelme caused havoc in the Atletico box and the ball clipped Perea's head before flying into the corner of the net.

Villarreal tails were up and Sorin had the final say to move Manuel Pellegrini's men up into fifth place in the table, just a point behind Real Betis and Sevilla
 

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