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BETTING ANALYSIS
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Serie A

Sat Feb 19

UDINESE

v

INTER MILAN

THIS WEEKS OTHER PREVIEWS :
19 February 2005
TO RUN!
19 February 2005
TO RUN!
20 February 2005
TO RUN!
20 February 2005
TO RUN!
20 February 2005
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MATCH ANALYSIS

"Udinese and Inter have started 2005 in contrasting ways. Udinese suddenly lost the flair and good luck that accompanied them in their terrific start to the season, with a series of defeats that allowed Inter to crawl up the standings and claim third place from them.

While losing away to Juve and Milan is understandable, it was not expected that they wouldn’t claim any points against the likes of Parma, Reggina and Sampdoria. After going through that bad patch, they recently returned to winning ways with two straight wins, but then confirmed their vulnerability against “big” teams when losing at Juventus last week.

Inter, meanwhile, have done well to beat most of their closest rivals fighting for a Champions League place (Sampdoria, Palermo, and Roma were all beaten in the last month and a half), but have struggled hugely against smaller sides, earning only disappointing draws with Chievo and Parma, and beating Atalanta only 1-0 at home.

But overall Inter are a side in good form, as Mancini has finally found a more or less stable formation that, unlike before, can defend a result, and looks like it can score at any minute. In fact, no one else has earned more points than them since the start of the year in Serie A. This has meant Mancini’s side have gained some ground on Juve and Milan, but they are still a daunting 11 points behind the black-and-white league leaders

Just like Inter, Udinese are also playing some good football but their failure to beat the top teams has left them out of the running for the title race.

Having lost against AC Milan earlier in the year before going down to a 2-1 defeat against Juve last weekend, Luciano Spalletti's men know what they are up against when they face the best attack in the Italian top flight.

``In order to win we will have to play an almost perfect game,'' admitted striker Antonio Di Natale.

The good news for the hosts is that striker Dino Fava has recovered from a slight knee injury but suspended midfielder Sulley Muntari will be unavailable for the encounter.

Inter travel to the Friuli stadium with all of their star players available, including Adriano, who will play alongside Christian Vieri in attack.

Very difficult to predict to say the least, but don’t be too surprised to see Inter walk away with another morale-boosting win against a team with a similar league position. Udinese aren’t exactly flying recently, while Inter have usually done well against teams who want to play football like the Bianconeri, not just defend (see also Palermo and Roma).

Recommendation:

Inter Milan @ 2.4 with SKYBET

 

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MATCH OUTCOME
 A last-gasp equaliser from young substitute Henok Goitom gave Udinese a precious point, although Inter hold on to third place, their Scudetto hopes are now in tatters.

Fourth welcomed third in this enticing clash at the Stadio Friuli, though both teams had injury worries to contend with. Obafemi Martins made way for Christian Vieri as partner to Adriano, while Ivan Cordoba started despite being on a yellow card and therefore risking a suspension for next week's Milan derby.

Udinese had Giampaolo Pinzi, Per Kroldrup, Vincenzo Iaquinta and the suspended Sulley Ali Muntari. Sinisa Mihajlovic celebrated both his 300th Serie A appearance and his birthday, as the defender is set to blow out 36 candles on Sunday.

Juan Sebastian Veron, Kily Gonzalez and David Pizarro all drilled long-range efforts wide early on, but after 14 minutes a Mihajlovic free kick found the head of Cordoba for an effort that went inches wide of the post.

Inter dominated possession in the opening stages, but Udinese proved dangerous with David Di Michele. The former Reggina man should have chipped Francesco Toldo rather than going for the angled drive and the chance went begging.

Soon after, Di Michele again fired straight at the goalkeeper when he was totally unmarked after springing the offside trap on Marek Jankulovski's through ball. Valerio Bertotto hit a missile from 35 metres that skimmed the far post with Toldo beaten.

Jankulovski had a great chance to get on the end of a corner kick, but slipped at the crucial moment as Udinese were taking control.

Christian Vieri nodded a Mihajlovic free kick past the back post, then the Italian international ballooned his shot wide from a very promising position.

Udinese failed to effectively clear an Adriano effort and Morgan De Sanctis got down well to block a rocket of a half-volley from Veron.

In the second half, Adriano's low free kick was cleared over the bar by Nestor Sensini.

De Sanctis was called into a fantastic flying save to turn one of Mihajlovic's specialties round the post.

The Udinese goalkeeper was again crucial as he stood up to Adriano at the end of a strong run and the Brazilian drilled inches wide of the goal. He ran on to Esteban Cambiasso's through ball and really should have at least got his effort on target.

That was not a criticism that could be levelled at Juan Sebastian Veron, as soon after he opened the scoring with an absolute screamer. De Sanctis was taken by surprise as the snapshot from 20 metres swerved wickedly round Sensini's body and away from the stunned goalkeeper.

Vieri left the field with a rib injury and made way for Alvaro Recoba and De Sanctis backtracked to flap out a bending Mihajlovic cross-shot that was heading for the far corner of the net. As the move continued, substitute Recoba drilled just wide from the edge of the box.

An acrobatic Di Natale attempt was deflected off target, but Adriano continued to struggle as he nodded a Stankovic cross over the bar.

Di Natale then skipped past two players and fired off target, but in the final moments a Javier Zanetti goalline clearance kept out Pizarro's curling free kick at the back post.

Udinese were increasing the pressure and at the 91st minute they finally hit the back of the net. Sensini's header was flicked on by substitute Goitom from six yards for his first Serie A goal. The Swedish Under-21 international had never even featured in the Italian League, but starts his account in spectacular fashion
 
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