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BETTING ANALYSIS
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CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

22nd Feb 2005

LIVERPOOL

v

LEVERKUSEN

THIS WEEKS OTHER PREVIEWS :
22 February 2005
TO RUN!
22 February 2005
TO RUN!
23 February 2005
TO RUN!
23 February 2005
TO RUN!
23 February 2005
TO RUN!

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MATCH ANALYSIS

" Liverpool face the first leg of their Champions League clash against Bayer Leverkusen without a string of top stars, including skipper Steven Gerrard who is suspended from the match but will be available for the second leg in Germany in a fortnight.

Fernando Morientes and Mauricio Pellegrino are both cup tied while Xabi Alonso, Djibril Cisse and Florent Sinama-Pongolle are all injured.

Harry Kewell is likely to return after recovering from an Achilles injury, but there is also an injury doubt over Neil Mellor who has been struggling with a knee injury.

By contrast to Liverpool, Leverkusen have been in fine form since the German season resumed. Saturday's 4-2 victory at 1. FC Nürnberg was their fourth in five matches, although it came at a cost as captain Jens Nowotny tore the rear cruciate ligament in his left knee and will miss the rest of the season. In his absence, 19-year-old Jan-Ingwer Callsen-Bracker will make his first start in the Champions League alongside Juan in central defence. Leverkusen coach Klaus Augenthaler said: "Liverpool may have Steven Gerrard suspended and Fernando Morientes ineligible, but we have got important players out in Jens Nowotny, Marko Babic and Roque Junior."

Nowotny, capped 45 times by Germany, must fear his career is on the line after being carried off in Bayer's 4-2 win at Nurnberg on Saturday with suspected torn cruciate knee ligaments.

The 31-year-old has suffered a similar fate on three occasions in his career - once on his left knee in 1991 and twice on his right knee in 2002 and 2003 - and it is his left knee once again that is being tested in Munich.

"We cannot give a diagnosis to 100 per cent accuracy but there is a risk that the rear ligaments are torn," said Bayer's press officer Ulrich Dost.

Nowotny played a major part in Leverkusen's push to third in the Bundesliga last season and he has continued to hold onto a place in Klaus Augenthaler's side in the current campaign.

Former Leeds United defender Roque Junior will come into the Leverkusen squad for Nowotny and there could also be a place for Brazilian defensive colleague Juan, who was suspended for the Bundesliga game against Nurnberg but is fit and ready for the trip to Merseyside.

Im not sure Liverpool are strong enough to cope without inspirational Steven Gerrard, and they have had some very disappointing form recently, losing 2-0 to Birmingham last week. AND look at the players they have missing. Leverkusen have scored six goals in their last two games and are playing with confidence - I think they can shock Liverpool today. Get on Leverkusen at a huge 5/2 with Bluesq.
 

Recommendation:
Bayer Leverkusen @ 5/2 with BLUESQ
 

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MATCH OUTCOME

Liverpool 3 Bayer Leverkusen 1
Tuesday February 22 2005

Liverpool will travel to Bayer Leverkusen in a fortnight with a nagging fear their outstanding performance at Anfield might not secure a Champions League quarter-final spot.

They were two ahead at the break through Luis Garcia and John Arne Riise and grabbed what they thought was a precious third in injury time thanks to a Dietmar Hamann free-kick.

But with seconds left Franca punished a Jerzy Dudek fumble and the German side had their away goal, knowing that a 2-0 win in the second leg will see them grab a place in the last eight of the competition.

But this was still a remarkable display by Liverpool, who found their erratic form at just the right time despite being forced to play without a host of influential regulars because of injury, suspension or ineligibility.

Stripped of so many front-line players, including suspended skipper Steven Gerrard, Rafael Benitez's side virtually picked itself with Harry Kewell returning after a two month injury lay-off.

Igor Biscan took over from Gerrard with Luis Garcia also back from a domestic suspension.

Hamann had the chance to take the lead in midfield in Gerrard's absence, no doubt inspired at being given a chance to take on his countrymen.

And he started in fine style, winning possession and driving forward. He had one edge of the box shot deflected wide while stand-in skipper Sami Hyypia had a cross punched off his head by visiting keeper Jorg Butt.

But Leverkusen withstood Liverpool's opening burst with confidence and control and then carved out an excellent chance. Paul Freier forced his way in from the right before setting up Robson Ponte 12 yards out, but the Brazilian lifted his shot over the bar.

The German club's attacking strength was underlined when Dimitar Berbatov fired in a fierce 25 yarder from the left corner of the box and Jerzy Dudek palmed it away with some difficulty. Another 20 yarder flashed wide of a post from the tall Bulgarian.

But, on 15 minutes, the unlikely figure of Biscan cut open the visitor's defence after going past two tackles and sliding a ball into space for Luis Garcia to collect and clip expertly past Butt to send Anfield wild.

Liverpool immediately had an amazing let-off when Steve Finnan's weak header hit Hyypia and dropped perfectly for Berbatov to sprint clear on his own. Dudek advanced but knew he had little chance, only to stand and watch the striker's shot roll wide of a post.

Just as Leverkusen gained confidence they were hit by Liverpool's second. Kewell was fouled way out on the right by Diego Placente, and Riise stepped up curl a cracker from 30 yards into the bottom corner leaving Butt sprawling and his wall well beaten.

Ponte was rather unlucky to be booked for kicking the ball back at a fallen Riise, Bernd Schneider having committed the original foul. The caution puts Ponte out of the second leg.

Freier was booked early in the second half for a foul on Traore, and he will also miss the second leg, while Dudek was also cautioned for time wasting.

Baros missed a glorious chance of a third when Riise's run took him cleverly into the box. His square pass was controlled by the unmarked Czech Republic international, but his shot was lifted over the bar.

Hamann was next into the book for a foul on Freier before Voronin lifted a shot over the bar on the hour after Bayer's best passing move of the match.

Liverpool then wasted two more great chances of a third. Riise put Baros clear in the box, but his 12 yard shot clipped Butt's leg and rolled wide. From the corner, Jamie Carragher hit a point-blank effort that Butt somehow pushed away.

Then it was Dudek's turn to be a hero. First he palmed out a Freier 20-yard drive before tipping over Schneider's pile driver from 30 yards.

But the tension lasted right into injury time. First Hamann gave Liverpool a three-goal cushion when he curled in a 20-yard free kick for a foul on Anthony Le Tallec.

But their was still time for the Germans to get their own lifeline when Franca scored with seconds to go, Berbatov's shot being fumbled by Dudek for the Brazilian to punish the error, which could be very costly in the BayArena in a fortnight.

 

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