1. MCKELVEY - He will
definitely get in now. He
has course form, has
distance form, he is in
form, beating some good
horses over hurdles last
week, he is a good jumper,
appears to have been trained
for this race all season,
has a superb racing weight
of 10stone 4 and even though
his price has shortened this
week, still rates the best
value in the race at 38.0.
Lots and lots in his favour
and looking at some of the
horses trading at half his
price is baffling.
2. NUMBERSIXVALVERDE - last
years winner gets in off a
great racing weight of 11
stone 3lbs. Would this extra
burden have stopped him from
winning last year? I
personally don't think so
and his preparation this
season has gone like
clockwork. Looks nailed on
to run a big race.
3. KELAMI - French breeds
dont stay? This one does!
Classy type with form at
very high levels over
extreme distances. Goes on
any going, good jumper,
Stable buoyant and despite a
no-show at Cheltenham,
returned to form in a hurdle
prep race in France last
time out. 10 stone 11lbs is
ideal.
4. ROYAL AUCLAIR -
Outstanding effort 2 years
ago to finish 2nd to
Hedgehunter off top weight.
Races off nearly a stone
lower this year as he
slipped down the ratings as
a result of a very average
season last year. Signs this
year that he is returning to
something like his old form,
which would give him a huge
chance if he finds it. Paul
Nicholls is openly buoyant
about the weight he has been
alloted and should run a big
race.Hedgehunter may have
a lot of weight but
consistently has done well
in this race and is a very
safe jumper. Numbersix also
is difficult to see out of
the frame. actually academic
its interesting that u
should nominate eurotrek, as
he has the massive advantage
of having winning course
form. surely that should be
a positive stat in itself?
I would be very keen on
his chance if he didn't have
so much weight but feel the
handicapper has been very
harsh on him. However I
wouldn't be amazed to see
him win either. I also feel
Simon has been consistently
underrated as well. he's
done nothing wrong and goes
off the same mark as his
Kempton win, where he
slaughtered the opposition.
basically if I backed those
two and the four I already
mentioned id be confident of
backing the winner, but
without much profit
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