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2008 Epsom Derby

Epsom is indeed a fairly easy 12 furlongs compared with many other tracks, but it is one of, if not the fastest 12 furlong race in the world, they go a good clip from the start and the first 5-6 furlongs is quite a steep incline, for horses that are unlikely to get the trip, this uphill strech is where the race tends to be lost for them, they use more energy than they would like going up the hill and then end up travelling too fast back down it. If stamikna is a concern for any horse at the Derby then do not back it!

Regarding placing your bets, Motivator was a thorough stayer, he got done for a lack of speed in the eclipse and the Irish champion. I think, to win the derby, you have to have a 12furlong horse.
Form of maiden Archipenko looks outstanding with Honoured Guest filling the Places in the French 2000 Guineas and Ballysax winner More wells in behind today, however proximity of Yellowstone a major worry for. Perhaps Ballysax was a weak renewal with 1st and 3rd well beaten today so maybe More Wells not as good as first thought? Would have thought Eagle Mountain would have a more obvious chance based on his run in the 2000 Guineas, may well stay as well. On top of that not happy with the level of uncertainty surrounding O'Briens best hope, could indicate nothing special in the stable this season, after all they can't all be good can they? I personally will be looking else where for the moment. Why would a Derrinstown winner not be going to France? He isn't sure to stay 12 furlongs, and with this years Derrinstown being run slowly there is still no total belief he will stay, if he his good, then France is probably the favoured target.

The fact that everyone seemingly fancied him but there was never really any money for him. If he was as good as many people on here though, he would be single figures, especially by now - but, correct me if I'm wrong, did he ever reach single figures for any length of time?

If they really think one is good enough to win a big race, the money comes at some point, but the money never came for this horse and doesn't look like coming, either.

I actually want him to run, because i want as much opposition to Authorized as their can be. I don't want him to win a 10 runner soft ground derby and then have everyone saying he is an absolute superstar and the best horse we have seen in a long time, because that won't be the case. Rather like Motivator, who, too, was overrated after his farce derby win. His form afterwards showed his true form. Basically said although Authorized is a worthy favourite , his natural instinct as a punter is to oppose him and feels he can be beatenand the most likely alternative is Archipenko. Was extremely impressed with the Derrinstown run which is the key trial according to him and he's convinced only a top class horse could have won as he did.

Authorized has been described by Raceform as a tall horse and has only ran on flat, galloping tracks and may not handle the counter camber of Tattenham Corner.

By the way, this years Oratorio is Eagle Mountain, very similar horses and Ithink they will go the same route with him, get your money on for the Eclopse and Irish champion stakes now!

Archipenko has won one the very best Derby trials (gubbing Macarthur, who was a single figure price for the Derby at the time) on his first run of the season. He has had his trainer wax lyrical about him on the front page of the RP. He has been talked up by Tony Morris and now Gary O'Gorman has given him a glowing report. He has won (and won well) on Soft ground, but yet he is still a double-figure price for the race.