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BETTING ANALYSIS
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Serie A

Sun Feb 13

BRESCIA

v

CAGLIARI

THIS WEEKS OTHER PREVIEWS :
12 February 2005
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12 February 2005
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13 February 2005
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13 February 2005
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MATCH ANALYSIS

" If Cagliari played all of their games at fortress Sant`Elia, they would probably be cruising towards the Scudetto but away form has hurt the Sardinian club's chances of challenging for honours.

Gianfranco Zola and co have only won once away from home all season, but they have never had as good a chance of taking all three points as they have this weekend at Brescia - a team with just a single triumph at their own ground. Newcomers to the top flight this season, Cagliari prefer to be positive and focus on the fact that they are looking to consolidate their place in Serie A.

"It's true that we are in eighth position, but I'm not looking up the table," said Cagliari coach Daniele Arrigoni. Those squads that are higher up in the table cannot be compared with us. If we do not lose against Brescia on Sunday, I see our salvation as being closer." The Rossoblu have enjoyed a successful season despite lapses of weakness in defence. Cagliari have scored 33 goals but have leaked 36 in 23 matches in Serie A.

The defence has been so shaky that Sunday's opponents Brescia, the second-bottom team in Serie A, have only let in 29. Meanwhile Brescia's problem might be described as a Roberto Baggio hangover because without the creative influence of the retired `Divine Ponytail' they have managed to score just 15 goals all season. The task for Brescia, who appointed Alberto Cavasin as their new coach following the sacking of Gianni De Biasi, is to tighten up at the back and start stringing together wins to climb out of the bottom three.

Cavasin, an experienced coach with a reputation as a motivational leader, has already sounded the call to battle. De Biasi is the ninth coach to have been forced out in Serie A this campaign. He was shown the door after Brescia's 1-0 defeat at home to Udinese last weekend, a result that left them 19th in the 20-team league with only 20 points from 23 matches. They are three points from safety with nearly half the campaign still to play. Brescia president Gino Corioni initially backed De Biasi and insisted he was going to keep his job. But one day later, Corioni announced his dismissal.

"De Biasi has paid the price of only clinching three points in nine games and not being able to explain what was wrong," Corioni said. "We had simply lost the trust of the coach." Brescia will have to do without injured midfielder Roberto Guana and defender Gilberto Martinez while Cagliari will be without suspended striker Antonio Langella and injured frontman Davide Suazo. With new coach Cavasin replacing the fired De Biasi during the week, the Rondinelle will be motivated to achieve a win which in recent weeks has been very elusive. Cagliari’s excellent season has been marred with a poor track record which stopped them from achieving an even higher league placing. This might be the Rossoblu’s chance of winning points away from home even though Brescia will have the home advantage.

Recommendation: Brescia @ 11/8 with Skybet [£10 Free Bet]

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MATCH OUTCOME
Alberto Cavasin celebrated his first match in charge with an impressive victory over 10-man Cagliari at the Mario Rigamonti as Brescia broke a four-game goalless sequence and boosted their hopes of avoiding the drop.

Davide Zoboli and Andrea Caracciolo were on the mark for the home side, who had not scored in Serie A since Luigi Di Pasquale's leveller in the 1-1 draw with Fiorentina on January 15, as they made light of their home ground blues and compounded the visitors' miserable away form.

Cagliari were dealt a further blow when Alessandro Budel was sent off in the opening minutes of the second half.

Cagliari have won only once on the road all season, a 3-2 win at Lazio, and their prospects of doubling that tally were reduced further as Brescia took the lead after only five minutes.

From a Cagliari corner, the home side cleared the ball upfield and it eventually fell to Zoboli, who turned and shot past goalkeeper Gennaro Iezzo to put his side ahead despite a strong suspicion of handball.

Brescia continued to press and two minutes later Luigi Di Biagio fired just wide after being played in by Caracciolo.

Cavasin's men dominated the first half and Caracciolo volleyed just over the crossbar on the half-hour mark.

Zoboli then sent a header narrowly over the target four minutes before the break after Omar Milanetto had whipped a free-kick into the box but Brescia could not improve on the one goal lead they took into the interval.

Cagliari started the second half in a more positive mood and Gianfranco Zola forced Luca Castellazzi into his first real save of the game as the keeper turned the former Parma and Chelsea veteran's free-kick around the post.

However things got much worse for Daniele Arrigoni's side after 54 minutes.

Budel, who had been booked less than five minutes earlier, received his marching orders after being shown a second yellow card for bringing down Giuseppe Sculli.

Sculli immediately tried to press home Brescia's one-man advantage but his long-range effort was held by Iezzo.

Cagliari were up against it but nearly fashioned an unlikely equaliser on 77 minutes.

Brescia goalkeeper Luca Castellazzi could only parry Zola's cross into the path of Daniele Conti.

The midfielder looked odds-on to score but defender Daniele Adani managed to scramble back and block his shot on the line.

This seemed to spur on the visitors in their search for an equaliser and only a brilliant save from Castellazzi six minutes from the end stopped Mauro Esposito from levelling the score after the striker was played in by Conti.

That proved to be Cagliari's last chance to salvage something from the game as Brescia wrapped up the points in stoppage time.

Di Biagio's cross found Caracciolo and the defender had the simple task of nodding the ball into an unguarded net to get Cavasin's tenure off to the perfect start.

Brescia now face a crunch clash when they travel to relegation rivals Parma next, whom they climb above in the Serie A table on goal difference after the Gialloblu lost 2-1 at Fiorentina.

 
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